Replacement disk faults

I had a disk in my pool fault (raise too many errors).

The number of I/O errors associated with a ZFS device exceededacceptable levels. ZFS has marked the device as faulted. impact: Fault tolerance of the pool may be compromised.    eid: 52  class: statechange  state: FAULTED  host: databank-a  time: 2021-12-11 16:36:33-0500  vpath: /dev/disk02_old  vphys: pci-0000:00:1f.2-ata-4  vguid: 0x73F7B0B1D1B45864  devid: /dev/disk02_old  pool: 0x47B3E7C1336F1F4F

So, I replace it with a brand new disk (zpool replace pool /dev/foo /dev/bar) but then it faulted (my server kept going to sleep because I stupidly enabled x-windows), so I cleared the error (zpool clear pool /dev/bar) but then it happened again.

  pool: DATA01 state: DEGRADEDstatus: One or more devices is currently being resilvered.  The pool will        continue to function, possibly in a degraded state.action: Wait for the resilver to complete.scan: resilver in progress since Wed Dec 15 11:23:57 2021        6.83T scanned at 256M/s, 5.80T issued at 217M/s, 9.08T total        232G resilvered, 63.85% done, 0 days 04:24:05 to goconfig:        NAME                        STATE     READ WRITE CKSUM        DATA01                      DEGRADED     0     0     0        raidz1-0                    DEGRADED     0     0     0            /dev/disk01             ONLINE       0     0     0            replacing-1             UNAVAIL      0     0     0  insufficient replicas            8356341911383201892     UNAVAIL      0     0     0  was /dev/disk02_old            /dev/disk02_new         FAULTED      0    81     0  too many errors  (resilvering)            /dev/disk03             ONLINE       0     0     0            /dev/disk04             ONLINE       0     0     0errors: No known data errors

What are the chances that the drive is not at fault?